Mrs. Larisa Kobrinskaya
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Head
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Department
of Price and Finance Statistics
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Federal
State Statistics Service (Rosstat)
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39, Myasnitskaya St.
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Moscow , Russian
Federation 107450
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(7) 495-6074447
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(7) 495-6072460
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Kobrinskaya@gks.ru
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0. Prerequisites
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0.1 Legal environment
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0.1.1 Responsibility for collecting,
processing, and disseminating statistics
Federal
State Statistics Service (Rosstat)
- The
compilation and dissemination of the data are governed by the terms
and conditions of the Federal Law of November 29, 2007 No. 282-FZ On
Official Statistical Accounting and State statistics system in the
Russian Federation, (Об официальном статистическом учете и системе государственной статистики в Российской Федерации)
and
Statute on the Federal State Statistics Service, adopted by Decree of
the Government of the Russian Federation on July 02, 2008 №420 (Положение о Федеральной службе государственной статистики
- Article
1 of the Statute stipulates that the Federal State Statistics Service
(the Rosstat) shall provide official statistical information that
constitutes part of government information resources on the country's
social, economic, demographic and ecologic status.
- Article
5.2 of the Statute stipulates that the Federal State Statistics
Service shall develop the official statistical methodology for
compilation of statistical observations, and provide conformity of the
specified methodology to the international standards.
The above
mentioned documents is available in Russian on the following
Rosstat's webpage:
Federal Law
On Official Statistical Accounting and State statistics system in the
Russian Federation (http://www.gks.ru/news/fz282.htm);
Statute on
the Federal State Statistics Service (http://www.gks.ru/free_doc/new_site/rosstat/post_rosstat.htm).
0.1.2 Data sharing and coordination among data-producing
agencies are adequate
- The Statute and the Law
provides Rosstat has the right to receive from respondents primary
statistical data and administrative data, including those containing
information classified as State secrets, commercial secrets,
information about taxpayers, personal data of individuals subject to
their obligatory depersonalization, and other information, access to
which is restricted by federal laws, in order to compile official
statistical information (Article 6.1 of the Statute, Article 9 of the
Law).
0.1.3 Confidentiality of individual
reporters' data
Federal State Statistics Service
(Rosstat)
Article 5.16
of the Statute stipulates that the Rosstat shall provide in appropriate way
the storage and protection of official, banking, tax, and commercial and
other confidential information, received by the Rosstat during its
activities.
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0.4
Quality management
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0.4.1 Quality policy
The document
was developed taking into account the principles of official statistical
accounting established by the Law, the fundamental principles of official
statistics approved at the 68th session of the UN General Assembly on
January 23, 2014, the Generic Statistical Business Process Model (version
5.0) prepared by the UNECE High Level Group, and international standards
for ensuring the quality of official statistical information.
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1. Integrity
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1.1 Professionalism
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1.1.2
Selection of sources, methodology, and modes of dissemination
Federal
State Statistics Service (Rosstat)
Article
4 of the Law defines rational choice of sources in order to generate
official statistical information to ensure its completeness, reliability
and timeliness of provision, as well as to reduce the burden on respondents
as one of the principles of official statistics.
Article
7 of the Law states that Rosstat develops official statistical methodology,
which includes methods of collecting, monitoring, dissemination,
aggregation and grouping primary statistical data and administrative data,
compiling national accounts, assessing the accuracy of official statistical
information and its systematization, and official statistical methodology
of the development of statistical information.
Article
4 of the Law states that the official statistical methodology should be
scientifically substantiated, consistent with international standards and
principles of official statistics, as well as the legislation of the
Russian Federation, open and accessible.
Rosstat
disseminate official statistical information by publishing in official
publications, the media and posting for publican free access on the
official website of Rosstat (www.gks.ru).
1.1.3 Commenting on erroneous
interpretation and misuse of statistics
In
case of misinterpretation or misuse of statistical data, Rosstat may send a
denial to the media, which allowed the distortion of official statistical
information, for further publication.
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1.2 Transparency
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1.2.1 The terms and
conditions under which statistics are collected, processed, and
disseminated are available to the public.
Methodological
documents on the monitoring of consumer prices for goods and services and
the calculation of the consumer price index are available publically free
for all users on the official website of the Rosstat
http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/tariffs/
1.2.2 Internal governmental access to statistics
prior to release
Federal
State Statistics Service (Rosstat)
There
is no government access to the data before its release.
1.2.3 Attribution of statistical
products
Federal
State Statistics Service (Rosstat)
The
data are published without ministerial commentary.
1.2.4 Advance notice of major
changes in methodology, source data, and statistical techniques.
Federal
State Statistics Service (Rosstat)
The
Rosstat announces significant changes in methodology, source data, and
compilation techniques in advance.
Price
index: Consumer prices
The
Rosstat announces significant changes in methodology, source data, and
compilation techniques in advance. Changes in methodology for computation
of the consumer price index are reflected in the “Methodological
Explanations” section of the monthly report Социально-экономическое положение России (Socio-Economic
Situation in Russia), and also in methodology comments accompanying various
statistical collections.
1.3.1. Guidelines for staff
behavior are in place and are well known to the staff.
In
the performance of official duties Rosstat employees adhere to the
standards of conduct established by the Code of Ethics and official conduct
of Rosstat civil servants, approved by order of Rosstat on October 10,
2016.
Article
15 of the Federal Law of July 27, 2004 No. 79-FZ “On the Civil Service of
the Russian Federation” (О государственной гражданской службе Российской
Федерации) establishes the duties of civil servants related to the
observance of official conduct
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2. Methodology
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2.1 Concepts and definitions
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2.1.1
Concepts and definitions
- Definition: The consumer prices and tariffs index for goods and
services (CPI) describes the change over time in the overall level of
prices for goods and services purchased by the public for
nonproduction consumption. It measures cost
ratio of fixed list of goods and services in current period prices to
its cost in previous (base) period prices.
The consumer price index includes sample groups (types) of
goods and services that are most frequently consumed by the population,
covering more than 670 thousand prices and tariffs, 71 thousand retail and
service organizations. Registration of prices and tariffs for goods and
services is made on a monthly basis from the 21st to the 25th day of the
reporting month. In 2019 observation is carried out on 510 types of goods
and services - representatives in 283 cities on the territory of all
constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Consumer price is the final
price of consumption (including VAT, excise, sales tax and other indirect
taxes as well as costs and profits of organizations of the distribution
network).
When calculating the CPI, weights are based on data on actual
consumer expenditures of households for the last two previous years (8
quarters preceding the last quarter of the previous year), obtained as a
result of an annual sample survey of household budgets. The distribution of
household expenditure items is carried out in accordance with the Russian
Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (the national
equivalent of COICOP).
The weighting system used in building consumer price indices
is reviewed annually in January.
CPI data are published without seasonal adjustment.
The methodology is based on the principles set out in the
“Resolution on Consumer Price Indices” adopted by the 17th International
Conference of Labor Statisticians, as well as the “Guide on Consumer Price
Index” developed by the ILO, IMF, OECD, Eurostat, UNECE and the World Bank.
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2.2
Scope
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2.2.1 Scope
2.2.1.1 Scope
of the data
- Population
coverage: Consumer
prices are recorded in the cities of Russian Federation. The consumer
price index is compiled for the whole population of the Russian
Federation.
- Geographical
coverage: Prices
are recorded in 283 cities. Consumer price surveys are performed in
all of the constituent territories of the Russian Federation. Price
information is collected in all of the capitals of the republics, in
the kray, oblast, autonomous region and districts’ centers, in federally
designated cities, and on a sample basis, in rayon centers (cities and
urban-type settlements, referred to hereinafter as "cities")
selected in light of their representative nature in reflecting the
socioeconomic and geographical status of regions and the degree to
which the consumer market is saturated with goods and services. Cities
are selected for price surveys using the targeted sample method.
- Item
coverage: Consumer
price indices are compiled for three major groups: food, nonfood
goods, and services purchased by the public, which in turn are broken
down into product subgroups and individual types of representative
goods and services. In 2019 a total of 510 types of goods and
services were included in the set of goods and services used to
compile the consumer price index.
2.2.1.2 Exceptions from the
scope
- Geographical
coverage: rural settlements are not covered.
- Coverage
of trade organizations: observation does not include trade
organizations (services), the level of prices for goods (services) in which
is 2-3 times higher than their average level for similar goods. In the
observation also does not participate stores sales and commission
trade.
- Item coverage: prices for goods and services sold or
provided on preferential terms to certain categories of the population
are not subject to registration. Prices for goods that are sold during
the short-term discount period (promotions lasting less than 7 days)
are not recorded.
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2.3
Classification/sectorization
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2.3.1 Classification/sectorization
Classification: Classification of goods and services by the Общероссийский классификатор странмира – ОКСМ (OKSM - Russian Classification of Countries of the World), Общероссийский
классификатор объектов административно-территориального деления объектов – ОКАТО (OKATO - Russian Classification of Administrative-Territorial Entities) and Классификации
индивидуального потребления по целям – КИПЦ (national equivalent of COICOP).
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2.4
Basis for recording
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2.4.1
Valuation
- Types
of prices: The actual price (tariff) of a product
(service) with specific consumer features available for public sale in
consumer market (not including goods (services) sold or provided
under concessional terms for specific categories of citizens)
and paid for in cash or credit cards is subject to recording. The
consumer price is the ultimate consumer price including the VAT,
excise tax, sales tax, and other indirect taxes as well as costs and
profits of distribution network organizations.
2.4.2
Recording basis
- Timing
of price observation: The recording of prices and
tariffs for goods and services for compilation of the CPI is performed
monthly as of the 21st-25th of the reference month;
some adjustments to pricing dates are made when those days fall
on a weekend. No price data are collected on an average monthly basis.
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3. Accuracy and reliability
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3.1 Source data
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3.1.1 Source
data collection programs
- Sources
of weights: Data on consumer spending by
the population, derived from household budget surveys, are used as
weights in the compilation of the CPI. Additional information is also
used to determine the specific weight of individual items in the
consumer basket: data on the structure of the retail trade turnover,
the output of certain types of products, other sources, and
judgments.
- Time
period of current weights: Data
on actual consumer expenditures of households for two last biased
years (8 quarters prior to the last quarter of the previous year)
derived from annual household budget sample survey as weights for
computation of the CPI. For example, in order to calculate CPI in 2019,
weights for the 4th quarter of 2016, year 2017
and 9 months of 2018 are used.
- Frequency
of weight updates: Weights
are updated annually. Weights revisions are introduced in January of
each year.
- Item
selection. Mass-market
consumer goods and services, as well as certain non-essential types of
goods and services (passenger cars, gold jewelry, delicatessen products, etc.), are included on
a representative basis in the basket of goods and services selected
for price surveys. The selection of items is based on their relative
importance for public consumption, their representative nature from
the standpoint of reflecting price dynamics for similar goods, and
their stable availability for sale. The selection is performed using
the targeted sampling method.
- Outlet
selection: The
tracking of prices and tariffs for goods and services is performed at commercial,
services and catering organizations, as well as at retail markets and
fairs, both at permanent commercial establishments and at mobile
outlets (tents, kiosks, etc.), owned by both legal entities and
individuals.
- Sample
sizes. More than 71,000
of retail commercial organizations and organizations in the service
sector participate in the prices and tariffs for goods and services
survey, with more than 670,000 of price quotations recorded for
products of specific consumer features (brand, grad , item
number).
- Price collection methods: Price data are
collected through personal visits to commercial organizations and
organizations in the service sector by employees of statistical authorities
or on websites (in some cases by phone) or through the recording of
prices using mobile devices.
- Item/product
specification: The
consumer prices are tracked on the basis of the consumer basket of
representative goods and services which are small product groups.
Consumer prices are recorded for specific consumer features such
as brands, grades, and item numbers representing a product group that
has been selected for the survey.
3.1.3 Source data are timely.
Primary
data are provided in a timely manner to a single server in Moscow at the
time of collecting information through closed channels of the mobile
Internet.
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3.3
Statistical techniques
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3.3.1 Source
data statistical techniques
- Computation
of lowest level indices: A
geometric mean value formula of price changes for specific price
quotations is used to compute average prices for the compilation
of individual lowest level consumer price indices.
- Aggregation:
A
modified Laspeyres formula is used to aggregate good and product
indices to obtain price indices for product groups, combined consumer price
indices at various levels of aggregation, or total indices.
- Alignment
of expenditure and base period: Adjustments
are made to the weights in order to bring them to a single base period
to assure that the base periods of the weights and prices are comparable
(to December prices of the previous year).
- Linking
reweighted index to historical index: To
ensure the comparability of information in two successive years,
indices of missing prices for the previous year are imputed. There is
no revision of the consumer price index time series.
- Reference
period: December of the previous
year is used as the period when the price index = 100.
3.3.2 Other
statistical procedures
- Treatment
of missing prices: “Estimated” prices are imputed when prices are
temporarily missing.
- Selection
of replacement items: In cases in which a surveyed product disappears
permanently from sale, it is replaced, if possible, or it is
eliminated from the calculation in accordance with the current
methodology for computing consumer price indices.
- Adjustments
for quality differences: An adjustment for
quality differences when replacement items are selected must be
performed following the current methodology for the computation of
consumer price indices.
- Introducing
new products: The criterion for the inclusion of new products and
services in the basket is their share in the population’s total
consumer spending. New products and services are included in the
basket for consumer price surveys starting with the new reference year
when they account for 0.1 percent of total consumer spending by the
population.
- Seasonal
items: In cases in which products are unavailable seasonally, methods
for imputing prices are used.
·
Owner-occupied
housing: Changes
in prices in the housing market are not taken into account in the CPI. Only
changes in the maintenance expenses of apartment owners are included in the
computation of the CPI as well as the rental cost of private housing.
- Seasonally
adjusted indices: Consumer price indices are not published with a
seasonal adjustment on a regular basis.
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3.4
Data validation
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3.4.1
Validation of intermediate results
- Verification
of prices: Methods for checking input and output data
as well as audits for price recording in accordance with the current
methodology are used to validate the accuracy and reliability of
collected price information.
- Verification
of processing: Methods to check index compilation and output data are
used to validate the accuracy of the computation of consumer price
data at various stages of data processing.
3.5.1 Studies and analyses of
revisions are carried out routinely and used internally to inform
statistical processes
CPI data are final and cannot be revised.
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4. Serviceability
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4.1 Periodicity and timeliness
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4.1.1 Periodicity
Monthly
4.1.2 Timeliness
Aggregated data on CPI broken down by goods and services,
constituent entities of the Russian Federation, federal districts and
Russian Federation in general are available free on the Rosstat website on
the 6th working day after the reporting month.
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4.2
Consistency
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4.2.1 Internal consistency
Data on
consumer prices indices can be cross-checked by the public using detailed
data broken down by price indices for food items, non-food items and
services, as well as by groups of goods (services) and its specific types,
by constituent entities of the Russian Federation and Russia as a whole and
published in annual publications:
Statistical Yearbook of Russia” («Российский статистический ежегодник») (in
Russian only);
Prices in Russia” («Цены в России») (in
Russian only);
“Social Status and Living Standard in
Russia” («Социальное положение и уровень жизни населения в России”)
(in Russian only);
“Regions of Russia” («Регионы России»)
(in
Russian only);
“Russia in
Figures” («Россия в цифрах») (in
Russian and in English).
In addition
data on CPI as well as on weights in CPI compilation for the Russian
Federation are available at the Rosstat official website and at the Unified
Interdepartmental Statistical Information System.
Information
in the above mentioned database is updated monthly on the 6thworking
day after the reference period.
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4.3
Revision
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4.3.1 Revision schedule
Data
are final when first released.
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5. Accessibility
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5.1 Data
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5.1.1 Statistical presentation
Data
are disseminated on the consumer price index, a modified Laspeyres index
(2000 = 100, 2010=100), covering the Russian Federation as a whole. The
overall index is published, as well as indices (as of end of previous
month, quarter, year) for the following three subgroups: food items,
non-food items and services.
The
index randomly includes groups (types) of goods and services, most
frequently consumed by population, covering more than 670,000 number of
prices and tariffs collected from 71,000 commerce and service
organizations. The recording of prices and tariffs for goods and services
is carried out monthly as of the 21st-25th of the reference month. In
2018 prices for more than 509 names (types) of goods and services are
surveyed in 276 cities from all constituent entities of the Russian
Federation. The consumer price is the ultimate consumer price including the
VAT, excise tax, sales tax, and other indirect taxes as well as costs and
profits of distribution network organizations.
Data
on actual consumer expenditures of households for two last biased years (8
quarters prior to the last quarter of the previous year) derived from
annual household budget sample survey are used as weights in the
compilation of the CPI. Distribution of households’ expenditure items is
implemented in accordance with COICOP.
Data
on CPI are not seasonally adjusted.
5.1.2 Dissemination media and format
Hard
copy - Monthly Bulletin
Социально-экономическое положение России (Socio-Economic
Situation in Russia) (In Russian only).
Annual
publications:
Российский статистический ежегодник (Statistical
Yearbook of Russia) (in Russian only);
Цены в России (Prices
in Russia) (in Russian only);
Регионы
России. Социально-экономические показатели (Regions of
Russia. Social
and Economic Indicators) (in Russian only);
Russia
in Figures (Россия в цифрах) (in
Russian and in English);
To
order a copy, please contact the above address.
Electronic
- On-line bulletin or data
http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/en/main/
(in English)
Electronic
- Other
Available
on request; please contact the above address.
5.1.3 Advance release calendar
The precise release dates for the current month and the
upcoming three months are listed on the webpage of the Rosstat:
http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/imf/release/
5.1.4 Simultaneous release
Data
are simultaneously released to all interested parties on the English
website of the Rosstat and in Russian in the monthly Rosstat's bulletin Социально-экономическое положение России
(Socio-economic position in Russia), which is also accessible on the
above-mentioned website.
5.1.5 Statistics not routinely disseminated are
made available upon request.
Rosstat provides, at the request of users, official
statistical information (aggregated data that does not contain confidential
information). Information on average prices and price indices for certain
goods (services), as well as price indices for groups of goods (services)
is available on request.
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5.2
Metadata
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5.2.1 Dissemination of documentation
on concepts, scope, classifications, basis of recording, data sources, and
statistical techniques
Methodological documents on monitoring of consumer
prices for goods and services and calculation of consumer price index are
available in free public access at the Rosstat official website: http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/tariffs/
5.2.2 Levels of detail are adapted
to the needs of the intended audience.
CPI data are published in the context of goods and services
for various base periods, as well as for the constituent entities of the
Russian Federation, federal districts and Russian Federaration as a whole.
Information on average consumer prices is additionally published in the
context of Russian cities in which observation is organized.
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5.3
Assistance to users
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5.3.1 Contact points for each
subject field are publicized
The contact details of Rosstat specialists dealing with
consumer price statistics are available both on the site of the Rosstat
central office and on the sites of its territorial bodies.
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